American Eagle guided $45-50m of profit. It made $211m.

American Eagle's second-quarter operating profit was $211.4m against guidance of $45-50m. Strip the tariff refunds and it made $50.4m.

Published Data as of Sep 9, 2026 Sources 4 primary By Yu Han

AEO

In short

Second-quarter operating profit was $211.4m against guidance of $45m to $50m given in May. The company says $161m of it was IEEPA tariff refunds.

Means
The May guidance excluded refunds. On that same basis the quarter made $50.4m — $0.4m above the top of its own range. The operating business landed where the company said it would.
Market
No share price reaction here. Results came out on 9 September and our licensed price source runs a redistribution delay covering the session after it.
Watch
Third-quarter operating income is guided to $110m-$115m against $112.6m a year earlier. The company says it has now received substantially all of its refunds.

On 28 May, American Eagle Outfitters told the market to expect $45 million to $50 million of operating profit in its second quarter. On 9 September it reported $211.4 million.

Both figures are the company’s own, and the distance between them is not a forecasting error. It is one paragraph in the release, headed Tariff Refunds.

The $196 million

During the quarter American Eagle received $196 million of refunds of tariffs collected under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, interest included. Money it had already paid came back.

Against that it accrued $35 million of incremental incentive compensation — bonuses that the refund itself triggered. $18 million of the accrual sat in selling, general and administrative expenses and the rest in cost of sales, which leaves $179 million reaching gross profit and $161 million reaching operating income. The company prints that last number and calls it the net operating income benefit.

It is 76.2% of the quarter’s operating profit.

Put the quarter back on the guidance’s own basis

The May outlook carried a footnote worth reading twice: “Guidance excludes any impact from International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariff refunds.”

So the like-for-like comparison is not $211.4 million against $45-50 million. It is what is left after the refund comes out.

Second-quarter operating income against the guidance given in May ($m)

Guidance, 28 May 2026 45.0 to 50.0 Reported, 9 September 2026 211.4 less net tariff refund benefit 161.0 Operating income on the May basis 50.4

Guidance from Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K of 28 May 2026, which states it excludes any impact from IEEPA tariff refunds. Reported figures and the $161m net operating income benefit from Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K of 9 September 2026. The subtraction is ours.

$50.4 million against a range topping out at $50.0 million. The operating business did what the company said it would do, to within half a million dollars. Everything above that line arrived from US Customs.

The same footnote settles the margin question. In May the company guided second-quarter gross margin down year on year. It came in up 980 basis points.

Second-quarter margins, as reported and with the refunds removed

Q2 2026 Q2 2025 change Gross margin as reported 48.7% 38.9% +974bp excluding refunds 35.7% 38.9% -323bp

Operating margin as reported 15.3% 8.0% +728bp excluding refunds 3.7% 8.0% -438bp

Computed from the consolidated statements of operations in Exhibit 99.1, 9 September 2026. The company states that the refunds drove 1,300 basis points of the gross margin expansion and 1,170 basis points of the operating margin expansion; the ex-refund columns here subtract the $179m gross profit benefit and the $161m operating income benefit directly.

The company does not dispute this. Its own release says merchandise margins deleveraged 330 basis points, “with margin rate improvement in Aerie offset by American Eagle.”

$45 million to get the money sooner

There is a second refund line, and it sits below operating income where fewer people look.

Net interest expense was $47.1 million in the quarter against $1.9 million a year earlier — 24.6 times. American Eagle carries $55.0 million of long-term debt, down from $203.0 million, so this is not a borrowing story. The release explains it in one sentence: the company recorded $45 million of interest expense on an agreement with a third-party buyer for the sale of certain tariff refund claims, struck in the prior fiscal year.

It sold some of its claims before the government paid, and the discount is being expensed as interest. That is 23.0% of the $196 million that came in.

Pretax income with both refund items removed ($m)

Q2 2026 Q2 2025 Income before income taxes 178.1 100.5 less net refund benefit (161.0) plus claim-sale interest 45.0 On the same basis 62.1 100.5 -38.3%

Reported pretax income from the consolidated statements of operations, 9 September 2026. We add back the $161m net operating benefit and remove the $45m of claim-sale interest expense. Both figures are the company's own; the arithmetic is ours.

Reported diluted earnings per share were $0.79 against $0.45. Apply the quarter’s own 24.9% effective tax rate to that $62.1 million and the same share count, and what is left is about $0.28 — our arithmetic, not the company’s.

The full-year number moved less than one quarter’s refund

Full-year fiscal 2026 operating income guidance, as given in each release ($m)

28 May 9 Sept change Operating income 390 to 410 540 to 550 +36.3% midpoint 400 545 +$145m same basis (less $161m) 400 384 -4.0%

Midpoints computed here. The 28 May release states its guidance excludes any impact from IEEPA tariff refunds. The 9 September release states that all guidance includes the impact of IEEPA tariff refunds. The third line puts them on the same basis by removing the $161m recognised in the second quarter.

As printed, the outlook went up $145 million. The refund recognised in the second quarter alone was $161 million. Put the two ranges on the same footing and the full-year forecast is 4.0% lower than it was in May.

Two other guidance lines moved in the same direction. Full-year selling, general and administrative expense guidance went from high single digit growth to low double digit, and depreciation from about $220 million to about $215 million.

The quarter now running is guided flat

Third-quarter operating income is guided to $110 million to $115 million. American Eagle earned $112.6 million in the same quarter last year. At the midpoint that is 0.07% lower.

This is the first quarter the company has forecast since saying it “has received substantially all of the tariff refunds for which it submitted refund claims.”

0$m 60$m 120$m 180$m Against a loss of $85.2m in Q1 2025 Q1 2026 actual 28.2$m $50.4m of it without the tariff refunds Q2 2026 actual 211.4$m Midpoint of $110-115m. Q3 2025 was $112.6m Q3 2026 guided 112.5$m Full-year midpoint less the first half and the Q3 midpoint. Q4 2025 was $95.7m Q4 2026 implied 192.9$m $m, operating income
Operating income by fiscal quarter, actual through the second quarter of 2026 and guided after it. The third quarter is guided at last year's level; the fourth is what the full-year range leaves. Source: quarterly figures derived from the Forms 10-Q and 10-K listed below; guidance from Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K of 9 September 2026

Take the full-year midpoint of $545 million, subtract the $239.6 million already earned in the first half and the $112.5 million guided for the third quarter, and the fourth quarter is left with $192.9 million. American Eagle made $95.7 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.

We are not saying that is unreachable. We are saying that is what the range now contains: with the refunds behind it and the third quarter guided flat, the whole of the remaining improvement sits in the holiday quarter, and it is 101% above what that quarter produced last year.

What actually grew

-4% 0% 8% 16% Aerie and OFFLINE total revenue grew 25% Aerie +19% On total net revenue up 7.5% to $1,380.4m Total company +6% The company cites a fourth consecutive quarter of growth in mens American Eagle −1% % comparable sales, year on year
Comparable sales by brand, second quarter of fiscal 2026. The namesake brand is the one that shrank. Source: Exhibit 99.1 to the Form 8-K filed 9 September 2026. Comparable sales are company-defined

Revenue rose 7.5% to $1,380.4 million and total comparable sales 6%. Aerie and OFFLINE grew revenue 25%. The brand on the door fell 1%.

That split is the part of the quarter no refund touches, and it is the one the chief executive spent his prepared remarks on: “we remain focused on opportunities to drive greater consistency in the women’s business.”

The tariffs are still in the inventory

Merchandise inventory closed the quarter at $817.9 million, up 13.9%, on units up 9%. The difference implies 4.5% more cost sitting in each unit, and the company names the reason — “the increase in cost includes the impact of incremental tariffs this year.”

The refund is for goods already sold. The goods on the shelves were bought under the rates now in force.

American Eagle returned $21 million to shareholders in the quarter through its $0.125 dividend and spent $66 million on capital expenditure, against full-year capital expenditure guidance of $250 million to $260 million.

What this article does not settle

  • The refund is real money. $196 million arrived in cash. Nothing here suggests the accounting is improper — the company quantified the effect in the release, twice, and named the basis its guidance was struck on. What it is not is a repeatable margin.
  • The ex-refund figures are our arithmetic. We subtract the company’s own $179 million and $161 million from gross profit and operating income. American Eagle gives the basis-point effects but does not print restated margins.
  • The same-basis guidance line is our arithmetic too. Removing $161 million from the September midpoint assumes the September range contains that amount of refund and no more. The release says the company has received substantially all of its claims, but it does not restate the range.
  • The implied fourth quarter is a residual. It falls out of the full-year midpoint less the first half and the third-quarter midpoint. Ranges are ranges, and the company did not publish a fourth-quarter number.
  • No consensus comparison. Analyst estimates are not filings and we do not verify them. Every comparison here is against the company’s own published guidance.
  • No share price. Results came out after the close on 9 September and our licensed price source runs a redistribution delay that covers the session after it.
  • Comparable sales are company-defined, and so are the brand-level figures. Both are described in the release.
  • The exhibits are furnished, not filed. The 10-Q and 10-K linked above are the filed documents and carry the prior-period statements used here.

Check it yourself

The Tariff Refunds paragraph is on the second page of the 9 September release, under the outlook bullets. The two guidance tables are headed Outlook in each of the two releases linked above, three months apart, and the sentence about what the guidance does and does not reflect sits directly above each table. The consolidated statements of operations follow the safe harbour language in both. The prior-year quarterly figures are the third-quarter 10-Q and the fiscal 2025 10-K; amounts in all of them are in thousands.

The same trick of comparing two forecasts written on different bases turns up whenever a refund lands mid-year — see Lululemon, whose full-year cut was 13% as printed and 21% on one basis. For a retailer whose headline cut was small and whose earnings cut was not, see DICK’S; for one whose gross profit rose while sales fell, see GameStop; and for a quarter where everything interesting happened below operating income, see Docusign.

Every calculation above is written out in this article’s front matter and re-checked when the site builds.

If a figure here does not match a filing, tell us and it will be corrected on the article and on the corrections log, with the date.

Questions this answers

How much of American Eagle's Q2 2026 operating profit came from tariff refunds?
$161 million of $211.4 million, or 76.2%, on the company's own figure. It received $196 million of IEEPA tariff refunds including interest during the quarter, accrued $35 million of incremental incentive compensation against them, and calls the remainder the net operating income benefit.
What did American Eagle guide to for the second quarter?
$45 million to $50 million of operating income, given on 28 May 2026. That guidance stated it excluded any impact from IEEPA tariff refunds. Reported operating income less the $161 million refund benefit was $50.4 million.
Did American Eagle really raise its full-year outlook?
As printed, yes — full-year operating income guidance went from $390-410 million in May to $540-550 million in September, a rise of $145 million at the midpoints. The second-quarter refund benefit alone was $161 million, and the May range excluded refunds while the September range includes them.
Why did American Eagle's interest expense jump to $47 million?
The company recorded $45 million of interest expense on an agreement with a third-party buyer for the sale of certain tariff refund claims, entered into in the prior fiscal year. Net interest expense was $47.1 million against $1.9 million a year earlier.
Is American Eagle's gross margin actually improving?
Not on merchandise. Reported gross margin rose to 48.7% from 38.9%, but the company says the refunds drove 1,300 basis points of that and that merchandise margins deleveraged 330 basis points. Removing the $179 million gross profit benefit leaves 35.7%.

Verify this yourself

4 primary sources

Every figure on this page came from the documents below — not from summaries, databases, or other articles. Open them and check the numbers.

  1. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — Form 8-K filed 9 September 2026, Exhibit 99.1 Second quarter fiscal 2026 results, the Tariff Refunds paragraph, the consolidated statements of operations and balance sheets, and the third-quarter and full-year 2026 outlook table. The exhibit is furnished, not filed OPEN ↗
  2. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — Form 8-K filed 28 May 2026, Exhibit 99.1 The outlook this article measures against — second-quarter operating income of $45 to $50 million and full-year operating income of $390 to $410 million, stated to exclude any impact from IEEPA tariff refunds OPEN ↗
  3. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 1 November 2025, filed 9 December 2025 The prior-year third quarter the new third-quarter guidance is compared against — operating income of $112,574 thousand, and nine-month operating income of $130,477 thousand OPEN ↗
  4. American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. — Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended 31 January 2026, filed 30 March 2026 Full-year fiscal 2025 operating income of $226,222 thousand, used to derive the prior-year fourth quarter OPEN ↗

Data as of Sep 9, 2026 · figures may be restated by the issuer after this date

Found a number that doesn't match the filing? Confirmed corrections are published on the corrections log, with the date and what changed.

This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Figures come from public filings as of the date noted above and may be restated later. Verify independently before making any investment decision.